Footy tipping – round 11

This week ended with slightly better results than the last two, and with a mix of results that caused all three major strategies to finish with the same number of correct hits, cumulatively: 50 out of 88. The random “strategy” has one less hit.

During this week, there was also an interesting report on news.com.au saying that the AFL season is so unpredictable that the experts are doing no better than the novices at tipping. That does make me feel a little better, but it makes me wonder whether the results of this little experiment mean anything. That also explains why the best possible strategy so far, financially speaking, would be to bet always on the team that pays the most (the one least expected to win); with my rules, this strategy would have netted $86.65 on 38 correct guesses (43.18%).

In any case, here are the numbers:

Links:

• Round 10 (previous)
• Round 12 (next)