Footy 11 Apr 2005 11:38 am

Footy tipping - round 3

In a week in which the average tipper scored 3.3 hits (according to Channel Ten), the “ladder” strategy performed amazingly well, with 6 correct guesses. In case you’re wondering, and I’m sure you aren’t, the two errors were in the Carlton-Collingwood and Bulldogs-Richmond matches.

On the other hand, the two other strategies had appalling performances, with just three correct hits each. Now, I know that the “home” strategy is pretty much random anyway (with so many teams based in Melbourne, there’s not really much of a home-turf advantage in most matches), but I was really expecting more of the “money” strategy; maybe this was a week composed mostly of upsets, after all.

On the financial front, “ladder” also did extremely well, especially because it was tipping “against the money” in most matches. The other two, though, did terribly, going well into negative numbers both for this round and in the cumulative performance (wiping the gains from the first two rounds, and then some).

Here are the numbers:

Round 3 Ladder Money Home
Correct tips 6 3 3
Accuracy 75% 37.5% 37.5%
$ result $25.35 $-16.05 $-10.40
 
Cumulative Ladder Money Home
Correct tips 16 14 13
Accuracy 66.67% 58.33% 54.17%
$ result $28.05 $-9.40 $-2.30

So far, I don’t think any of the strategies has proved to be good enough to bet on; the results are simply not consistent enough and, with such a small sample, any of them can be attributed to luck. Let’s see how things go as we approach September…

Links:

Comments are closed.